GTA Market Forecast 2022 and Beyond

GTA Market Forecast 2022 and Beyond

Can we expect a continued fast pace of growth in house prices, or will things slow down? A question which is in everyone’s mind these days.

The current state of the GTA housing market

Everyone knows that the GTA market has grown rapidly from the last year. Hence becoming the most expensive housing market in Canada. The previous year saw the average housing price rise from $955,889 to $1,163,323. The latest figures show that presently, a condo in GTA costs the same as a detached home in 2014.
Toronto Future

Future prices in the GTA

GTA has a lot of economic momentum, the most populated region, and a hot spot for the industry, business, and jobs. With so many immigration streams open, immigrants give way to steady population growth. All these factors have contributed to the high level of housing demand. In contrast, the supply of condos, townhouses, semi or detached housing is considerably low to the demand. Many new housing projects are coming up, but even that does not seem to be able to fulfill the demand or reduce the gap between demand and supply. One way to satisfy the gap is to increase the interest rates and regulations on foreign purchases. The effects of these changes can only be determined in the coming times. People are expecting the end of pandemic conditions in 2022, which will give way to people returning to work, students returning to universities and a higher influx of immigrants. Hence, increasing the housing demand. It seems the future will have a considerable increase in condo prices which is till today less when compared to townhouses, semi or detached. The CMHC First-Time Home Buyer Incentives are also expected to boost condo sales. Overall, the opinions are that the real estate market in Canada will remain stronger throughout 2022.

Market Report Summary for November 2021

Updated Dec 3, 2021 (https://wowa.ca/toronto-housing-market)

Average home sold prices in Toronto continued to break all-time records this month, reaching $1,163,323 for November 2021

While Toronto’s housing market also had a record-breaking number of transactions for November, decreasing inventory and new listings remain a concern

There are many who are delaying their buying process, thinking the prices will come down. However, they may be out of luck as the market does not seem to be slowing down for the next year or two.
Yet another observation by Toronto Star says that pandemic has become the major force in driving the real estate market.

Happy New Year for the housing market? Expect another pandemic-fueled seller’s market in 2022

Double-digit price gains, investors, condos, and suburbs expected to remain hot housing trends in 2022, experts say. (Toronto Star, Dec 26, 2021)

Detached home prices increased by 30% year-over-year to $1.57M

Semi-detached home prices increased by 27% year-over-year to $1.21M

Townhouse prices increased by 46% year-over-year to $1.10M

Condo apartment prices increased by 18% year-over-year to $715k